Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Obolon Arena (Kyiv)

Referee: Derevinskyi O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
World	Onefootball


	Obolon		Chornomorets Odesa

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3.6
	2.41	2.9	3.2
	2.38	2.98	3.23	Watch
	2.25	2.88	3.4
	2.52	2.97	3.35	Watch
	2.41	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.35)	2.93 ↓ (3.12)	3.33 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Obolon
39.8%

Draw
32%

Chornomorets Odesa
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

30.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

29.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+1%)

Obolon - Chornomorets Odesa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Marchenko D. (G) 11. Grysyo M. 3. Pryimak V. 37. Dubko V. 15. Stasyuk P. 95. Kurko V. 79. Ilyin O. 25. Grusha V. 17. Chernenko R. 21. Bychek K. 9. Ustymenko D.	12. Aniagboso C. (G) 39. Skyba Y. 24. Jarju M. 44. Rakitskyi Y. 2. Butko B. 77. Kysil Y. 25. Kogut I. 28. Gabelok A. 16. Biloshevskyi B. 11. Popov K. 21. Bezborodko D.
Substitutes
7. Bliznichenko V. 1. Fedorivsky N. (G) 2. Karas D. 32. Lomnytskyi A. 13. Medynskyi I. 5. Osman O. 23. Rybka O. (G) 10. Slobodyan O. 55. Sukhanov S. 8. Taranukha R. 99. Teslyuk D. 44. Vitenchuk V.	22. Arsic V. 34. Latsabidze L. 95. Mustafaev E. 75. Nabyt M. (G) 18. Robakidze G. 66. Ryan Carlos 90. Shevtsov I. 14. Sigeev K. 7. Toirov K. 71. Vichnyi Y. (G) 17. Yanakov D. 3. Yermakov V.
Coaches
Shishenko S.	Kucher O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Gabelok A. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Aniagboso C. (Own goal),
40', Bezborodko D. ↓, Yanakov D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Chernenko R. ↓, Vitenchuk V. ↑,
66', Rakitskyi Y. ↓, Latsabidze L. ↑,
66', Gabelok A. ↓, Ryan Carlos ↑,
69', Grusha V. ↓, Sukhanov S. ↑,
69', Bychek K. ↓, Taranukha R. ↑,
85', Stasyuk P. ↓, Osman O. ↑,
85', Kurko V. ↓, Karas D. ↑,
87', Kysil Y. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Obolon won 0.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Chornomorets could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Obolon: Moroz T. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Chornomorets: Khoblenko O. (Yellow Cards) Prysyazhnyuk A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Chornomorets: Sporn J. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Obolon won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:9 (average 0.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Obolon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
04.04.25	Inhulets - Obolon	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Obolon - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Obolon - Zorya Luhansk	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
11.03.25	Oleksandriya - Obolon	4:0 ✺
07.03.25	Zorya Luhansk - Obolon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL
- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Premier League
05.04.25	Chornomorets Odesa - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Karpaty Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	4:0 ✺
16.03.25	Inhulets - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
06.03.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Chornomorets Odesa	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
04.10.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Obolon	1:0
26.02.24	Obolon - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1
12.08.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Obolon	2:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
26.03.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Obolon	1:1
20.09.20	Obolon - Chornomorets Odesa	2:3
15.07.20	Obolon - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0
14.09.19	Chornomorets Odesa - Obolon	0:1

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