Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Ukraina Stadium (Lviv)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
World	Onefootball


	Karpaty Lviv		Chornomorets Odesa

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	6
	1.49	3.95	6.8
	1.49	4.01	6.86	Watch
	1.53	3.75	6
	1.54	4.2	6.9	Watch
	1.49	3.95	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.62)	3.96 ↑ (3.75)	6.56 ↑ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karpaty Lviv
62%

Draw
23.7%

Chornomorets Odesa
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

25%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Karpaty Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kinareykin Y. (G) 28. Polegenko P. 4. Baboglo V. 47. Jean Pedroso 55. Stetskov T. 23. Alvarez P. 8. Chachua A. (C) 37. Bruninho 20. Ocheretko O. 10. Neves I. 26. Kostenko Y.	1. Rudko A. (G) 2. Butko B. (C) 24. Jarju M. 39. Skyba Y. 66. Ryan Carlos 16. Biloshevskyi B. 22. Arsic V. 25. Kogut I. 90. Shevtsov I. 9. Khoblenko O. 21. Bezborodko D.
Substitutes
19. Chaban I. 41. Domchak N. (G) 9. Fabiano 35. Kemkin O. (G) 18. Klymenko V. 95. Krasnopir I. 14. Kvasnytsya I. 2. Kyrychok M. 7. Pidlepenets E. 33. Shakh A. 21. Tanda P.	12. Aniagboso C. (G) 6. Caio Gomes 28. Gabelok A. 77. Kysil Y. 34. Latsabidze L. 95. Mustafaev E. 11. Popov K. 44. Rakitskyi Y. 8. Sporn J. 71. Vichnyi Y. (G) 17. Yanakov D. 3. Yermakov V.
Coaches
Lupashko V.	Kucher O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', Kostenko Y. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Bruninho (Pen),
45', 2 - 0, Bruninho (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 3 - 0, Bruninho ⚽,
56', 4 - 0, Kostenko Y. ⚽, Bruninho (A),
61', Kogut I. ↓, Gabelok A. ↑,
61', Shevtsov I. ↓, Mustafaev E. ↑,
63', Ocheretko O. ↓, Tanda P. ↑,
63', Kostenko Y. ↓, Shakh A. ↑,
71', Khoblenko O. ↓, Popov K. ↑,
71', Bezborodko D. ↓, Yanakov D. ↑,
76', Biloshevskyi B. ↓, Rakitskyi Y. ↑,
77', Neves I. ↓, Krasnopir I. ↑,
77', Bruninho ↓, Pidlepenets E. ↑,
83', Alvarez P. ↓, Klymenko V. ↑,
87', Rakitskyi Y. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karpaty won 3.

Recent matches Karpaty is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karpaty could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Karpaty is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Chornomorets: Prysyazhnyuk A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Karpaty: Sych O. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Karpaty won 7 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25:11 (average 1.3:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Karpaty won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:5 (average 1.6:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
11.03.25	Karpaty Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
06.03.25	Vorskla Poltava - Karpaty Lviv	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Karpaty Lviv - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Karpaty Lviv	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.02.25	Karpaty Lviv - Zimbru Chişinău	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTWLT
- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Premier League
16.03.25	Inhulets - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
06.03.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Chornomorets Odesa	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Chornomorets Odesa	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.01.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Drita Bogovinje	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
21.09.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Karpaty Lviv	0:1
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.24	Karpaty Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	3:0
Ukrainian Premier League
21.05.19	Chornomorets Odesa - Karpaty Lviv	3:1
23.04.19	Karpaty Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	0:0
28.10.18	Chornomorets Odesa - Karpaty Lviv	0:5
29.07.18	Karpaty Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0
05.05.18	Chornomorets Odesa - Karpaty Lviv	1:1

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