Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 10

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: United Sports Centre (Christchurch)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Christchurch United		Auckland FC 2

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.35	4.55	Watch
	1.55	4.55	4.74
	1.64	4.33	4.29	Watch
	1.54	4.63	4.88
	1.52	4.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.98)	4.47 ↑ (3.65)	4.59 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christchurch United
59.4%

Draw
20.6%

Auckland FC 2
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

24.9%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

24.3%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christchurch United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christchurch United's performance.

Auckland FC 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Auckland FC 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christchurch United than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christchurch United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland FC 2 than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auckland FC 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Christchurch United - Auckland FC 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Christchurch (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 3, ⚽,
69', 1 - 3, ⚽,
80', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 6)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Christchurch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Christchurch is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christchurch United
New Zealand National League
21.11.25	Wellington Olympic - Christchurch United	2:3 ✺
14.11.25	Christchurch United - Western Suburbs	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Birkenhead United - Christchurch United	3:0 ✺
31.10.25	Christchurch United - Auckland City	2:2 ✺
24.10.25	Coastal Spirit - Christchurch United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLTT
- Auckland FC 2
New Zealand National League
14.11.25	Auckland FC 2 - Wellington Olympic	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Western Suburbs - Auckland FC 2	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Auckland FC 2 - Birkenhead United	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Auckland City - Auckland FC 2	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Auckland FC 2 - Coastal Spirit	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 WTWTL

Christchurch United - Auckland FC 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide