Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 26

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadion Chrobrego (Głogów)

Referee: Rozycki A. (Pol)


	Chrobry Głogów		Sandecja Nowy Sącz

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.38
	2.87	3.1	2.35
	2.65	3.25	2.4
	2.95	3.23	2.53
	2.88	3	2.35
	2.88	3.25	2.38	Watch
	2.86	3.15	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.08)	3.15 ↓ (3.28)	2.41 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chrobry Głogów
32.6%

Draw
29.2%

Sandecja Nowy Sącz
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

27.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chrobry Głogów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chrobry Głogów's form might have worsened.

Sandecja Nowy Sącz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sandecja Nowy Sącz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chrobry Głogów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandecja Nowy Sącz than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sandecja Nowy Sącz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	35.7%	35.7%

Chrobry Głogów - Sandecja Nowy Sącz Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Chrobry will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Sandecja will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sandecja: 10.6% – 60.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chrobry won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Sandecja could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sandecja have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Chrobry won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Chrobry won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chrobry Głogów
Polish Division 1
01.04.23	Wisła Kraków - Chrobry Głogów	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.03.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Chrobry Głogów	3:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
19.03.23	Chrobry Głogów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
10.03.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Chrobry Głogów	6:0 ✺
04.03.23	Chrobry Głogów - Termalica Nieciecza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTTLL
- Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Polish Division 1
31.03.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Skra Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	GKS Tychy - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:3 ✺
11.03.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
06.03.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Odra Opole	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Arka Gdynia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
03.09.22	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Chrobry Głogów	0:1
15.05.22	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Chrobry Głogów	0:0
06.11.21	Chrobry Głogów - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:0
23.05.21	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Chrobry Głogów	1:1
28.11.20	Chrobry Głogów - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:2
26.06.20	Chrobry Głogów - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:0
27.09.19	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Chrobry Głogów	3:2

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