Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 34

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Chrobrego (Głogów)

Referee: Tarnowski S. (Pol)


	Chrobry Głogów		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.4
	1.87	3.4	3.7
	1.9	3.6	3.75
	1.94	3.63	3.67
	1.93	3.68	3.66
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.91	3.54	3.67
	1.87	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.82)	3.52 ↑ (3.25)	3.61 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chrobry Głogów
48.5%

Draw
26.1%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

26.9%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

20.3%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chrobry Głogów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chrobry Głogów that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zagłębie Sosnowiec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Chrobry Głogów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Users Predictions: Chrobry Głogów will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weglarz D. (G) 44. Zarowny A. 33. Malczuk N. 3. Michalec M. 99. Klimczak A. 19. Mucha P. 16. Mandrysz R. 29. Tupaj P. 89. Machaj M. 30. Bartlewicz S. 11. Lebedynski M.	33. Kos M. (G) 5. Lipka K. 88. Troc A. 3. Sukhotskyi A. 23. Matynia H. 14. Bonecki S. 10. Janota M. (C) 96. Calinski P. 17. Valencia J. 7. Polyarus A. 9. Bilinski K.
Substitutes
14. Biel B. 7. Bogusz A. 5. Bougaidis M. 22. Dybowski K. (G) 13. Kuzdra J. 23. Lewkot S. 9. Ozimek M. 8. Plewka P. 15. Wojciechowski T.	28. Bebenek K. 11. Fabry M. 20. Kirejczyk G. 87. Siuta K. (G) 25. Szostek P. 80. Uchnast L. 19. Ziemann M.
Coaches
Plewnia P.	Saganowski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Calinski P. 🟨,
34', Bartlewicz S. ↓, Ozimek M. ↑,
43', 1 - 0, Malczuk N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Janota M. ↓, Fabry M. ↑,
46', Kos M. ↓, Siuta K. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Machaj M. ⚽, Ozimek M. (A),
66', Troc A. ↓, Bebenek K. ↑,
66', Polyarus A. ↓, Ziemann M. ↑,
66', Klimczak A. ↓, Kuzdra J. ↑,
66', Mucha P. ↓, Plewka P. ↑,
79', Michalec M. ↓, Bougaidis M. ↑,
79', Machaj M. ↓, Biel B. ↑,
86', Lipka K. 🟨,
86', Lipka K. ↓, Szostek P. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is Relegated to Division 2

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chrobry won 3.

Recent matches Chrobry is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chrobry will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Chrobry won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Chrobry won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chrobry Głogów
Polish Division 1
20.05.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Chrobry Głogów	0:1 ✺
11.05.24	Chrobry Głogów - Resovia Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Znicz Pruszków - Chrobry Głogów	1:1 ✺
29.04.24	Chrobry Głogów - Wisła Płock	0:2 ✺
25.04.24	Motor Lublin - Chrobry Głogów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTTLT
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 1
18.05.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
12.05.24	Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
06.05.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	GKS Tychy - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0 ✺
23.04.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stal Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
19.12.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Chrobry Głogów	1:2
19.03.23	Chrobry Głogów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0
21.08.22	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Chrobry Głogów	1:2
22.05.22	Chrobry Głogów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	4:0
13.11.21	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Chrobry Głogów	3:2
15.05.21	Chrobry Głogów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0
21.11.20	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Chrobry Głogów	1:2

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