Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 2

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Chrobrego (Głogów)

Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Chrobry Głogów		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.2
	2.95	3.4	2.15
	3	3.5	2.2	Watch
	3.26	3.55	2.25
	3.21	3.37	2.19	Watch
	3	3.5	2.05
	3.07	3.45	2.16	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.89)	3.43 ↑ (3.41)	2.17 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chrobry Głogów
30.4%

Draw
26.9%

Termalica Nieciecza
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

27.1%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

26.6%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chrobry Głogów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	9.1%	63.6%

Chrobry Głogów - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Chrobry will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Termalica will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Termalica: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wroblewski K. (G) 29. Tupaj P. 44. Zarowny A. 16. Mandrysz R. (C) 5. Bougaidis M. 13. Kuzdra J. 30. Bartlewicz S. 7. Bonecki S. 19. Mucha P. 9. Ozimek M. 11. Lebedynski M.	1. Chovan A. (G) 23. Spendlhofer L. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 77. Putivtsev A. (C) 17. Zaviyskyi T. 8. Dombrovskiy A. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 6. Wolski M. 53. Trubeha A. 26. Jakubik W. 7. Fassbender M.
Substitutes
99. Arndt D. (G) 14. Biel B. 23. Lewkot S. 33. Malczuk N. 25. Marcinkowski E. 96. Szarek P. 10. Szczutowski A. 20. Szwedzik P. 80. Tabis K.	4. Ciesla D. 18. Farbiszewski B. 21. Hilbrycht D. 10. Karasek K. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 90. Nowakowski J. 80. Rozycki J. 13. Waclawek B. 25. Zapolnik K.
Coaches
Plewnia P.	Brosz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Kuzdra J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
53', Fassbender M. ↓, Zapolnik K. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Jakubik W. ⚽, Zapolnik K. (A),
57', Ozimek M. ↓, Szwedzik P. ↑,
57', Tupaj P. ↓, Tabis K. ↑,
63', Trubeha A. ↓, Hilbrycht D. ↑,
63', Zaviyskyi T. ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Karasek K. (Pen),
70', Mandrysz R. ↓, Lewkot S. ↑,
70', Bougaidis M. ↓, Szarek P. ↑,
73', Hilbrycht D. 🟨,
73', Lewkot S. 🟨,
78', Bonecki S. ↓, Marcinkowski E. ↑,
79', 0 - 3, Jakubik W. ⚽, Zapolnik K. (A),
86', Jakubik W. ↓, Rozycki J. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 4, Ambrosiewicz M. ⚽, Hilbrycht D. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chrobry won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Chrobry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Termalica will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Chrobry won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 4-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Chrobry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 0-17.

Last Results with these Odds

Termalica Nieciecza - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.05%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chrobry Głogów
Polish Division 1
20.07.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Chrobry Głogów - KKS Kalisz	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Chrobry Głogów - Ślęza Wrocław	1:0 ✺
06.07.24	Chrobry Głogów - Miedź Legnica	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Warta Poznań - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLL
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
20.07.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Warta Poznań	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Termalica Nieciecza	0:2 ✺
12.07.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
05.07.24	GKS Tychy - Termalica Nieciecza	3:2 ✺
02.07.24	Opava - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
18.02.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Chrobry Głogów	1:1
05.08.23	Chrobry Głogów - Termalica Nieciecza	0:5
04.03.23	Chrobry Głogów - Termalica Nieciecza	0:2
11.08.22	Termalica Nieciecza - Chrobry Głogów	3:1
19.05.21	Termalica Nieciecza - Chrobry Głogów	0:0
04.11.20	Chrobry Głogów - Termalica Nieciecza	0:2
23.11.19	Termalica Nieciecza - Chrobry Głogów	4:0

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