Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 27

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Gaston Petit (Châteauroux)


	Châteauroux		Martigues

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.95	2.5
	2.75	3	2.6
	2.96	2.9	2.76
	2.96	2.86	2.76
	2.62	3	2.5
	2.77	3.04	2.54	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.05)	2.96 ↓ (3.2)	2.6 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
33.4%

Draw
31.2%

Martigues
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Châteauroux's form might have worsened.

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martigues's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Châteauroux, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martigues, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Châteauroux - Martigues Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Martigues will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Cognard B. (G) 4. Diarra T. 33. Gnakpa J. 20. Matondo G. 13. Mbengue A. 7. Mendy F. 10. Mille A. 23. Njike T. 19. Nomel L. 6. Pires V. (C) 21. Sylva K.	30. Aymes J. (G) 5. Calvet R. 11. Diawara A. 22. Djaha A. 13. Hemia A. 27. Ipiele A. 28. Kadir F. 6. Kembolo F. 24. Morante L. 12. Robin M. 8. Zouaoui Y.
Substitutes
30. Ba M. (G) 9. Durbant G. 11. Duterte R. 27. Guyot B. 25. Mbia S.	19. Cervantes N. 18. Missi Mezu G. 7. Orinel O. 4. Soilihi A. 10. Tlili K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Matondo G. 🟨,
26', Mille A. 🟨,
38', Djaha A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Njike T. ⚽, Diarra T. (A),
67', Diarra T. ↓, Duterte R. ↑,
69', Kadir F. ↓, Cervantes N. ↑,
69', Robin M. ↓, Orinel O. ↑,
86', Gnakpa J. ↓, Mbia S. ↑,
90+1', Kembolo F. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3).

Châteauroux in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Martigues is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Châteauroux won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
22.03.24	Sochaux - Châteauroux	0:2 ✺
15.03.24	Châteauroux - GOAL FC	3:2 ✺
08.03.24	Red Star - Châteauroux	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Châteauroux - Orleans	2:1 ✺
23.02.24	Versailles - Châteauroux	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WWTWW
- FC Martigues
French Ligue 3
22.03.24	Martigues - Avranches	2:0 ✺
15.03.24	Le Mans - Martigues	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Martigues - Rouen FC	3:1 ✺
01.03.24	Martigues - Épinal	2:1 ✺
23.02.24	Sochaux - Martigues	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
20.10.23	Martigues - Châteauroux	1:1
03.02.23	Martigues - Châteauroux	1:0
26.08.22	Châteauroux - Martigues	2:2

Châteauroux - Martigues: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide