Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 25

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)


	Le Mans		Martigues

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.55
	2.4	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.82	3	2.83
	2.82	2.98	2.83
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.63	3.05	2.65	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.11)	3 ↓ (3.15)	2.71 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
35%

Draw
30.8%

Martigues
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

29%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.1%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Le Mans's form might have worsened.

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martigues's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Le Mans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martigues, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Le Mans - Martigues Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Martigues will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kocik N. (G) 26. Colas E. 8. Lauray A. 24. Lehoux P. 29. Quarshie E. 9. Rabillard A. 13. Raghouber U. 14. Touho M. 20. Vargas-Rios H. 15. Vula A. 17. Yohou S.	30. Aymes J. (G) 5. Calvet R. 19. Cervantes N. 22. Djaha A. 13. Hemia A. 27. Ipiele A. 6. Kembolo F. 29. Mendy O. 24. Morante L. 12. Robin M. 8. Zouaoui Y.
Substitutes
11. Aiko M. 6. Coutadeur M. 25. Gueye D. 10. Le Mehaute Y. 12. Ribelin A.	20. Ait Moujane Y. 11. Diawara A. 21. Hadjem Y. 28. Kadir F. 4. Soilihi A.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 3).

Recent matches Le Mans is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Martigues is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Le Mans won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Mans won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
09.03.24	Sochaux - Le Mans	2:2 ✺
02.03.24	Le Mans - GOAL FC	2:0 ✺
27.02.24	Villefranche - Le Mans	0:4 ✺
23.02.24	Red Star - Le Mans	4:1 ✺
16.02.24	Le Mans - Orleans	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWLL
- FC Martigues
French Ligue 3
08.03.24	Martigues - Rouen FC	3:1 ✺
01.03.24	Martigues - Épinal	2:1 ✺
23.02.24	Sochaux - Martigues	1:1 ✺
16.02.24	Martigues - GOAL FC	3:0 ✺
09.02.24	Red Star - Martigues	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
06.10.23	Martigues - Le Mans	4:0
27.03.23	Martigues - Le Mans	3:1
21.10.22	Le Mans - Martigues	1:1

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