Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 24

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)


	Red Star		Châteauroux

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.4
	1.72	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.73	3.56	5.45
	1.71	3.56	5.45
	1.65	3.6	4.5
	1.68	3.68	4.74	Watch
	1.71	3.45	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.51)	3.54 ↓ (4.2)	4.81 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
54.6%

Draw
26.2%

Châteauroux
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

21.6%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

21.5%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Star's form might have worsened.

Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Red Star, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Red Star - Châteauroux Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 11. Cisse K. 26. Dembi F. J. 7. Durand D. 8. Eickmayer J. 21. El Hriti A. 3. Hachem R. 10. Ifnaoui M. 28. Kouagba L. 2. Meyapya B. 25. Ndoye C.	40. Konate H. (G) 4. Diarra T. 33. Gnakpa J. 27. Guyot B. 20. Matondo G. 13. Mbengue A. 7. Mendy F. 10. Mille A. 23. Njike T. 19. Nomel L. 21. Sylva K.
Substitutes
27. Anani A. 29. Benali H. 17. Botella I. 35. Doucoure R. 34. Sanghare S.	29. Bengueddoudj Z. 16. Cognard B. (G) 24. Colella H. 9. Durbant G. 11. Duterte R.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Red Star won 3.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Red Star could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Red Star is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Red Star won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
02.03.24	Avranches - Red Star	0:0 ✺
27.02.24	Red Star - GOAL FC	2:1 ✺
23.02.24	Red Star - Le Mans	4:1 ✺
19.02.24	Rouen FC - Red Star	1:0 ✺
09.02.24	Red Star - Martigues	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWLW
- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
02.03.24	Châteauroux - Orleans	2:1 ✺
23.02.24	Versailles - Châteauroux	1:3 ✺
16.02.24	Châteauroux - Nîmes	0:1 ✺
09.02.24	Dijon - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
02.02.24	Châteauroux - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
18.11.23	Châteauroux - Red Star	2:1
French Ligue 3
02.10.23	Châteauroux - Red Star	1:2
19.05.23	Châteauroux - Red Star	0:1
13.01.23	Red Star - Châteauroux	3:0
08.04.22	Châteauroux - Red Star	4:2
05.11.21	Red Star - Châteauroux	0:2
French Ligue 2
25.01.19	Red Star - Châteauroux	1:3

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