Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 26

Date: 22 March 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Francis Turcan (Martigues)


	Martigues		Avranches

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.5	7
	1.33	5	8
	1.33	5.27	8.94
	1.33	5.27	8.94
	1.3	4.6	8
	1.33	4.85	8.25	Watch
	1.32	4.7	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.56)	4.88 ↑ (3.9)	8.13 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martigues
69.7%

Draw
18.9%

Avranches
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

23.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

21.8%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Martigues's performance.

Avranches has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avranches might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martigues that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avranches than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avranches could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Martigues - Avranches Predictions

Users Predictions: Martigues will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Aymes J. (G) 5. Calvet R. 19. Cervantes N. 11. Diawara A. 22. Djaha A. 13. Hemia A. 27. Ipiele A. 28. Kadir F. 24. Morante L. 12. Robin M. 8. Zouaoui Y.	16. Mensah C. (G) 17. Bansais D. 23. Daguin V. 20. Kerouedan A. 2. Launay B. 7. Nsimba S. 14. Pierre L. 5. Rabuel M. 21. Remars M. 6. Smith J. 24. Tertereau A.
Substitutes
20. Ait Moujane Y. 21. Hadjem Y. 6. Kembolo F. 7. Orinel O. 10. Tlili K.	8. Boateng C. 50. Bouteloup M. (G) 22. Hamard N. 4. Lemeray M. 18. Tshipamba I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Hemia A. ⚽, Cervantes N. (A),
32', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Smith J. 🟨,
61', Pierre L. ↓, Boateng C. ↑,
67', Diawara A. ↓, Tlili K. ↑,
68', Cervantes N. ↓, Orinel O. ↑,
68', Kadir F. ↓, Kembolo F. ↑,
73', Tertereau A. ↓, Tshipamba I. ↑,
86', Bansais D. 🟨,
90+1', Ipiele A. ↓, Ait Moujane Y. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Orinel O. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Martigues is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Avranches is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Martigues is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Martigues won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Martigues won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Martigues
French Ligue 3
15.03.24	Le Mans - Martigues	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Martigues - Rouen FC	3:1 ✺
01.03.24	Martigues - Épinal	2:1 ✺
23.02.24	Sochaux - Martigues	1:1 ✺
16.02.24	Martigues - GOAL FC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWTW
- US Avranches
French Ligue 3
15.03.24	Avranches - Sochaux	0:1 ✺
08.03.24	GOAL FC - Avranches	4:1 ✺
02.03.24	Avranches - Red Star	0:0 ✺
23.02.24	Orleans - Avranches	3:1 ✺
16.02.24	Avranches - Versailles	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
11.10.23	Avranches - Martigues	2:0
17.03.23	Martigues - Avranches	3:0
12.10.22	Avranches - Martigues	1:1

Martigues - Avranches: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide