Match Info

National - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Gaston Petit (Châteauroux)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Châteauroux		Sochaux

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.75	1.72
	4.48	4.02	1.81
	3.56	3.4	1.93	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.7
	4.22	3.75	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.82)	3.68 ↑ (3.31)	1.77 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
22.8%

Draw
25%

Sochaux
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

27.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

27.3%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sochaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Châteauroux - Sochaux Predictions

Users Predictions: Sochaux will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Lavallee L. (G) 12. Koembo J. 6. Kelo G. 4. Diarra D. (C) 39. Beneddine M. 27. Boussaid W. 18. Tjomb G. 21. Chahid Y. 5. Wade P. 10. Freitas R. 19. Piquionne L.	30. Pierre A. (G) 17. Youssouf B. 4. Vitelli A. (C) 14. Peybernes M. 3. Gomis D. 23. Masson J. 15. Mexique J. 28. Boutoutaou A. 5. Baghdadi S. 7. Gomel B. 9. Djoco K.
Substitutes
7. Ahmed A. 20. Bouaoune I. 29. Diakhaby L. 23. Djaha A. 13. Jean C.	1. Jeannin M. (G) 22. Loubao S. 26. N'Gatta E. 12. Sidibe A. 24. Tavares D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Tjomb G. 🟨,
32', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gomel B. ↓, Loubao S. ↑,
53', Tjomb G. ↓, Bouaoune I. ↑,
63', Boussaid W. ↓, Jean C. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Piquionne L. ⚽, Freitas R. (A),
70', Gomis D. ↓, Tavares D. ↑,
70', Baghdadi S. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Boutoutaou A. ⚽, Djoco K. (A),
76', 2 - 1, Freitas R. ⚽, Wade P. (A),
81', Freitas R. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
81', Koembo J. ↓, Djaha A. ↑,
81', Beneddine M. ↓, Diakhaby L. ↑,
89', Ahmed A. 🟨,
90+3', Loubao S. ↓, N'Gatta E. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 2.

Recent form of Châteauroux has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sochaux has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Châteauroux may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sochaux is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Châteauroux won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
30.04.26	Dijon - Châteauroux	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Châteauroux - Fleury 91	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Versailles - Châteauroux	4:0 ✺
10.04.26	Châteauroux - Quevilly	3:5 ✺
03.04.26	Aubagne - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLLLT
- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 3
02.05.26	Sochaux - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Sochaux - Bourg-Péronnas	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Dijon - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Sochaux - Fleury 91	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Versailles - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
16.01.26	Sochaux - Châteauroux	1:0
18.04.25	Châteauroux - Sochaux	1:0
06.12.24	Sochaux - Châteauroux	2:2
22.03.24	Sochaux - Châteauroux	0:2
11.10.23	Châteauroux - Sochaux	1:1
French Ligue 2
13.03.21	Sochaux - Châteauroux	0:0
21.11.20	Châteauroux - Sochaux	2:1

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