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Current Win Probability
Châteauroux 45.3%
Draw 29%
Quevilly 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
30.3%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
27.2%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Quevilly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Châteauroux that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Châteauroux - Quevilly Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Quevilly will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Lavallee L. (G) 23. Djaha A. 4. Diarra D. (C) 24. Goncalves A. 39. Beneddine M. 21. Chahid Y. 8. Dembele S. 5. Wade P. 13. Jean C. 9. Mupemba N. 10. Freitas R.
1. Djoco O. (G) 27. Pionnier T. 23. Mounsesse J. 26. Theresin V. 19. Tre J. 6. Njike T. (C) 18. Leborgne J. 7. Sylva K. 10. Bouneb I. 24. Mandengue R. 25. Ndiaye J.
Substitutes
20. Bouaoune I. 29. Diakhaby L. 12. Koembo J. 26. Sako B. 14. Verdier Y.
8. Bouekou N. 33. Come Ruiz S. 15. Gaya Y. 2. Kanoute Y. 28. Traore B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
19', 1 - 0, Beneddine M. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Jean C. ⚽, Wade P. (A),
33', Jean C. ↓, Koembo J. ↑,
36', 2 - 1, Ndiaye J. ⚽, Njike T. (A),
39', 2 - 2, Mandengue R. ⚽, Njike T. (A),
41', 2 - 3, Bouneb I. ⚽, Sylva K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', Dembele S. 🟨,
55', Djaha A. ↓, Verdier Y. ↑,
55', Chahid Y. ↓, Bouaoune I. ↑,
56', Goncalves A. 🟨,
57', 2 - 4, Leborgne J. (Penalty Awarded),
62', 2 - 5, Ndiaye J. ⚽, Bouneb I. (A),
64', 3 - 5, Bouaoune I. ⚽, Beneddine M. (A),
66', Dembele S. 🟨,
73', Sylva K. ↓, Kanoute Y. ↑,
73', Leborgne J. ↓, Bouekou N. ↑,
73', Beneddine M. ↓, Sako B. ↑,
73', Mupemba N. ↓, Diakhaby L. ↑,
82', Ndiaye J. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
89', Bouneb I. 🟨,
90+3', Bouneb I. ↓, Come Ruiz S. ↑,
90+3', Mandengue R. ↓, Gaya Y. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 5.
Châteauroux has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Quevilly's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Châteauroux might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Châteauroux won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 2.3:2.7).