Match Info

Paranaense - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay (Cianorte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Cianorte		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.55	2.75
	2.78	2.82	2.72	Watch
	2.72	2.73	2.87
	2.83	2.66	2.94	Watch
	2.63	2.6	2.75
	2.66	2.64	2.79	Watch
	2.8	2.66	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.92)	2.67 ↓ (3.03)	2.82 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cianorte
33.3%

Draw
34.3%

Coritiba
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.6%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

30.2%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cianorte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coritiba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cianorte than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coritiba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cianorte - Coritiba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe Garcia (G) 9. Caique 7. Dioran 6. Euller 8. Gabriel Chagas 4. Iago Motta 10. Pedoca 5. Pedro Ivo 11. Vinni Faria 2. Wagner Manaus 3. Wesley Rodrigues (C)	12. Pedro Rangel (G) 77. Breno Lopes 28. Fabinho 22. Felipe Guimaraes 55. Jacy 16. Joao Almeida 10. Josue (C) 4. Rodrigo Moledo 21. Thiago Santos 36. Vini Paulista 8. Wallisson
Substitutes
16. Aislan 18. Bruno Dentinho 22. Cristovam 21. Felipe Laurindo 19. Gabriel Silva 12. Guilherme Lopes (G) 14. Gustavo Silveira 15. Ibson 17. Luiz Fernando 20. Martins L. 13. Ramom Soares 23. Robson Luiz	67. Benassi (G) 18. Brayan Gravelo 5. Diogo Batista 14. Enzo Vagner 87. Gabriel Leite (G) 17. Jean Gabriel 13. Lucas Perez 2. Lucas Taverna 80. Matheus Dias 15. Miguel Silva 9. Thiago Azaf 20. Tissi
Coaches
Rafael Ferro	Fernando Seabra

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wallisson ↓, Tissi ↑,
54', Vini Paulista 🟨,
61', Caique ↓, Felipe Laurindo ↑,
61', Pedoca ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
61', Euller ↓, Gustavo Silveira ↑,
67', Breno Lopes ↓, Brayan Gravelo ↑,
67', Joao Almeida ↓, Enzo Vagner ↑,
68', Felipe Guimaraes 🟨,
70', Dioran ↓, Robson Luiz ↑,
83', Gabriel Chagas 🟨,
87', 0 - 1, Pedro Rangel ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cianorte won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Coritiba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cianorte won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 11:32. (average 0.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cianorte won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cianorte FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
24.01.26	Londrina - Cianorte	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Foz do Iguaçu - Cianorte	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Cianorte - FC Cascavel	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	São-Joseense - Cianorte	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Cianorte - Athletico Paranaense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWTT
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
28.01.26	Coritiba - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
24.01.26	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Coritiba - São-Joseense	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
13.01.26	Maringá - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
02.02.25	Cianorte - Coritiba	4:1
09.03.24	Coritiba - Cianorte	2:0
03.03.24	Cianorte - Coritiba	0:4
07.02.24	Cianorte - Coritiba	0:1
02.02.23	Coritiba - Cianorte	3:1
19.03.22	Coritiba - Cianorte	3:0
13.03.22	Cianorte - Coritiba	0:1

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