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Current Win Probability
Cianorte 36.8%
Draw 30.9%
Operário Ferroviario 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
30.7%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
30.8%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cianorte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cianorte's performance.
Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Operário Ferroviario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cianorte than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cianorte that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Operário Ferroviario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cianorte - Operário Ferroviario Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Fabiano (G) 4. Allan Passos 6. Cabeca D. 5. Caique 10. Felipe Laurindo 11. Hiago Monteiro 3. Jakao 27. Luciano 2. Paulo Roberto 7. Reifit 9. Robson Luiz
41. Diego Monteiro (G) 4. Andre 3. Charles Raphael 28. Dudu Mosconi 18. Favero 9. Jhow Torres 23. Joao Gabriel 19. Kaua Gomes 17. Matheus Galdino 39. Miguel Tavora 16. Renan Gustavo
Substitutes
18. Carlito Thiago 19. David Kaua 17. De Paula Santos R. 20. Guilherme L. 14. Iago Motta 8. Ibson 12. Igor (G) 21. Lucas Aruba 13. Ramom Soares 22. Rizzardi N. 16. Sony
25. Bernardo Rodrigues 30. Gabriel Cardozo 8. Henrique 21. Jonas 27. Kaua Lucas 12. Talles Lima (G) 34. Vitinho
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Matheus Galdino 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', 🟨,
55', Caique ↓, Ibson ↑,
55', Cabeca D. ↓, Sony ↑,
57', Felipe Laurindo ↓, David Kaua ↑,
69', Hiago Monteiro 🟨,
70', Jakao 🟨,
70', Kaua Gomes ↓, Vitinho ↑,
70', Andre ↓, Henrique ↑,
75', Jhow Torres ↓, Gabriel Cardozo ↑,
81', Luciano ↓, Ramom Soares ↑,
81', Paulo Roberto ↓, Carlito Thiago ↑,
84', Reifit 🟨,
90+3', Robson Luiz 🟨,
90+4', Dudu Mosconi ↓, Kaua Lucas ↑,
90+4', Miguel Tavora ↓, Bernardo Rodrigues ↑,
90+5', Kaua Lucas 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cianorte won 1.
Cianorte is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Operário PR is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Operário PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cianorte won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cianorte won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Cianorte - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 31.46%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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