Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 1

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Operário Ferroviario		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.25	4.33	Watch
	1.98	3	3.9
	1.92	3.15	4.05	Watch
	1.95	3.23	4.6
	1.88	3.25	4.48
	1.91	3	4.2
	1.89	3.24	4.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.23)	3.16 ↑ (3.03)	4.27 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
48.7%

Draw
29.5%

Atlético Goianiense
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

30.5%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.5%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Operário Ferroviario's performance.

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Goianiense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Operário Ferroviario - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Vagner (G) 2. Mikael Doka 22. Cuenu J. 16. Miranda 6. Moraes 20. Vinicius Diniz 5. Indio 29. Torres E. 10. Boschilia (C) 11. Aylon 92. Pablo	1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Ewerthon 3. Tito 4. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme 5. Matheus Indio 8. Cristiano 11. Jean Dias 10. Guilherme (C) 9. Marrony 7. Ramirez K.
Substitutes
4. Andre 3. Charles Raphael 28. Dudu Mosconi 1. Elias Curzel (G) 7. Felipe Augusto 27. Gabriel Feliciano 23. Joao Gabriel 99. Leo Gaucho 39. Matheus Trindade 88. Neto Paraiba 18. Pool J. 8. Zuluaga J.	16. Ariel 14. Barreto Viera O. J. 19. Bruno Jose 18. Guilherme Henrique 15. Igor Henrique 20. Leo Jaco 17. Lima 13. Nata 12. Vladimir (G)
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes	Eduardo Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Pablo ⚽,
42', Marrony 🟨,
44', Boschilia 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jean Dias ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
46', Matheus Indio ↓, Igor Henrique ↑,
56', Indio 🟨,
58', Indio ↓, Matheus Trindade ↑,
60', Ramirez K. ↓, Leo Jaco ↑,
70', Adriano Martins 🟨,
72', Guilherme ↓, Guilherme Henrique ↑,
72', Torres E. ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
82', Pablo ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
82', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
82', Moraes ↓, Gabriel Feliciano ↑,
82', Cristiano ↓, Ariel ↑,

Preview

Operário PR has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlético GO's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlético GO may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Operário PR is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira (Inactive)

There are questionable in Operário PR: Pereira H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético GO: Ramirez K. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Operário PR won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atletico GO	32	14	10	8	40:30	10	52
9	Operario-PR	32	13	9	10	44:43	1	48

Last Results with these Odds

Operário Ferroviario - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.41%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
12.03.26	Operário Ferroviario - Capital CF Ltda	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
07.03.26	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 penalties ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.03.26	Betim - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
28.02.26	Operário Ferroviario - Londrina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWT
- Atlético Goianiense
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	Atlético Goianiense - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
15.03.26	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.03.26	Porto Velho - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
07.03.26	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
15.11.25	Atlético Goianiense - Operário Ferroviario	0:0
22.07.25	Operário Ferroviario - Atlético Goianiense	3:0
01.11.19	Operário Ferroviario - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
30.07.19	Atlético Goianiense - Operário Ferroviario	4:2

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