Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 2

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)

Referee: Holanda L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	São Bernardo		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3	3.3
	2.3	3.12	3.53
	2.25	3.06	3.41
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.25	2.98	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.41)	3.03 ↑ (2.94)	3.39 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
41.6%

Draw
30.8%

Operário Ferroviario
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

31.2%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

31.1%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

São Bernardo - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (C) 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 3. Helder Maciel 97. Augusto 6. Para 26. Dudu Miraima 8. Foguinho 17. Romisson 10. Fabricio Daniel 89. Daniel Amorim 29. Pedrinho	33. Vagner (G) 2. Mikael Doka 22. Cuenu J. 16. Miranda 6. Moraes 20. Vinicius Diniz 5. Indio 29. Torres E. 10. Boschilia (C) 11. Aylon 92. Pablo
Substitutes
27. Echapora 21. Hugo Sanches 35. Jemerson 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 30. Junior Urso 7. Lucas Rian 90. Luizao 77. Marcao Silva 5. Matheus Salustiano 19. Neto Costa 22. Pablo Dyego 11. Pedro Vitor	25. Caio Dantas 1. Elias Curzel (G) 7. Felipe Augusto 27. Gabriel Feliciano 4. Klaus 28. Maguinho 39. Matheus Trindade 88. Neto Paraiba 30. Pedro Vilhena 14. Pereira H. 18. Pool J. 8. Zuluaga J.
Coaches
Ricardo Catala	Luizinho Lopes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Romisson ⚽, Fabricio Daniel (A),
20', Miranda 🟨,
30', Indio 🟨,
32', Fabricio Daniel 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Pablo ⚽, Mikael Doka (A),
45+5', Helder Maciel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Indio ↓, Matheus Trindade ↑,
57', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
57', Daniel Amorim ↓, Lucas Rian ↑,
64', Torres E. ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
68', Pedrinho ↓, Pedro Vitor ↑,
68', Dudu Miraima ↓, Junior Urso ↑,
77', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
79', Foguinho ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Boschilia ⚽, Aylon (A),
89', Aylon ↓, Pool J. ↑,
89', Pablo ↓, Caio Dantas ↑,
90+2', Neto Paraiba 🟨,

Preview

São Bernardo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Operário PR is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

São Bernardo might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in São Bernardo: Lucas Fernandes (Inactive) Mario Sergio (Inactive) Pablo (Inactive)

There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira (Inactive) Pereira H. (Injury) Vinicius Mingotti (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Operario-PR	32	13	9	10	44:43	1	48
12	Sao Bernardo	32	12	9	11	44:34	10	45

Last Results with these Odds

São Bernardo - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.12%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Operário Ferroviario - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.64%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.03.26	São Bernardo - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Chapecoense - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Ceará - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	São Bernardo - Ceará	0:1 penalties ✺
10.03.26	Joinville - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLTLW
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
28.03.26	Operário Ferroviario - Tombense	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Caxias - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Operário Ferroviario - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
12.03.26	Operário Ferroviario - Capital CF Ltda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
08.10.23	Operário Ferroviario - São Bernardo	1:0
03.09.23	São Bernardo - Operário Ferroviario	2:1
06.08.23	Operário Ferroviario - São Bernardo	1:0

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