Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 7

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday


	Cimarrones de Sonora 2		Real Apodaca

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.09	4.74
	1.55	3.95	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.39)	4.02 ↓ (4.62)	4.82 ↓ (6.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cimarrones de Sonora 2
58.3%

Draw
22.7%

Real Apodaca
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

19.9%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

18.8%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cimarrones de Sonora 2's form might have worsened.

Real Apodaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora 2 than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cimarrones de Sonora 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Apodaca than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Apodaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 18).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Cimarrones de Sonora 2 is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cimarrones de Sonora 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
16.09.23	Calor de San Pedro - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	1:0 ✺
08.09.23	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Saltillo	1:2 ✺
01.09.23	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Tuzos UAZ	1:0 ✺
28.08.23	Alacranes de Durango - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	2:0 ✺
18.08.23	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Los Cabos United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLL
- Real Apodaca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
17.09.23	Real Apodaca - Alacranes de Durango	0:2 ✺
09.09.23	Los Cabos United - Real Apodaca	3:1 ✺
03.09.23	Real Apodaca - Mexicali	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Mineros de Fresnillo - Real Apodaca	4:2 ✺
20.08.23	Real Apodaca - Leones Negros 2	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLW

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Real Apodaca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide