Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Real Apodaca		Leones Negros 2

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.3
	1.99	3.6	3.27
				Watch
	1.96	3.44	3.36
	1.95	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.4)	3.51 ↑ (3.25)	3.31 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Apodaca
46.5%

Draw
26%

Leones Negros 2
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

26.2%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Apodaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Apodaca's performance.

Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones Negros 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Apodaca than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Apodaca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leones Negros 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Apodaca - Leones Negros 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Real Apodaca is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Leones Negros 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Real Apodaca have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real Apodaca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 2:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Apodaca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Apodaca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
23.02.25	Real Apodaca - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Tigres de Álica - Real Apodaca	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Real Apodaca - Los Cabos United	1:3 ✺
02.02.25	Real Apodaca - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Real Apodaca - Tuzos UAZ	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWLWW
- Leones Negros 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
01.03.25	Leones Negros 2 - Cimarrones de Sonora	3:1 ✺
21.02.25	Tecos FC - Leones Negros 2	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	Los Cabos United - Leones Negros 2	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Leones Negros 2 - Tuzos UAZ	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Leones Negros 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
26.10.24	Leones Negros 2 - Real Apodaca	3:2 penalties
20.01.24	Leones Negros 2 - Real Apodaca	3:1
20.08.23	Real Apodaca - Leones Negros 2	3:2 penalties

Real Apodaca - Leones Negros 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide