The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cipolletti 35.3%
Draw 33.5%
Ciudad de Bolívar 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
30.9%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
32.1%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cipolletti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cipolletti than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cipolletti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Cipolletti - Ciudad de Bolívar Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Crespo F. (G) 8. Almiron A. 7. Ibarra C. 2. Langa J. 11. Lucero G. 6. Marin Y. 3. Mbombaj G. 10. Mellado L. 9. Paez M. 5. Stancato A. 4. Trejo N.
1. Biscardi R. (G) 9. Caraballo K. 11. Diaz A. 7. Duarte B. 10. Gonzalez A. 3. Lapetina L. 6. Martinez E. 2. Navarro E. 5. Quintana B. 8. Yeri N. 4. Zona D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Almiron A. 🟨,
32', Navarro E. 🟨,
38', Martinez E. 🟨,
45', Quintana B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mbombaj G. ↓, Abentin J. ↑,
55', Lucero G. ↓, Vella L. ↑,
56', Vella L. 🟨,
58', 🟨,
70', Quintana B. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
70', Diaz A. ↓, Maciel J. ↑,
70', Caraballo K. ↓, Alegre T. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Maciel J. ⚽,
87', 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
In recent matches, Cipolletti has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ciudad de Bolívar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cipolletti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cipolletti won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cipolletti won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).