Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Bahía Blanca)


	Villa Mitre		Olimpo Bahia Blanca

	1	X	2
	1.88	3	3.9
	1.95	2.78	4.25	Watch
	1.94	2.72	4.37
	2.03	2.75	4.67	Watch
	1.95	2.63	4.4
	1.95	2.74	4.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.97)	2.77 ↓ (2.8)	4.34 ↓ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Mitre
46.4%

Draw
32.7%

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

33.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

34.8%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Olimpo (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Olimpo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mazza J. P. (G) 2. Almada J. 6. Bacigalupe S. 5. Battigelli A. 11. Fernandez L. 8. Monti L. 7. Mujica P. 3. Pinto M. 4. Silva H. 9. Tunessi M. 10. Valeri V.	1. Lungarzo J. (G) 8. Amarilla C. 4. Chimino C. 7. Coacci E. 6. Ferreyra M. 9. Gonzalez F. 10. Guille B. 3. Lapetina L. 2. Moiraghi N. 11. Ramirez D. 5. Stancato A.
Substitutes
12. Alcaraz M. (G) 20. Ayala V. 15. Escobar M. 18. Gomez S. 17. Gonzalez E. 19. Ibarra T. 14. Olguin U. 16. Perez T. 13. Segalerba G.	14. Bellone A. O. 15. Fernandez S. 12. Geist C. (G) 18. Hernandez A. 13. Hertel L. 20. Ibarra C. 17. Llanos S. 19. Olivera M. 16. Vargas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
72', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 2.

Recent performances by Villa Mitre have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Olimpo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Olimpo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Villa Mitre is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Villa Mitre won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.04.26	Alvarado - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Villa Mitre - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Germinal - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Villa Mitre - Círculo Deportivo	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTLWL
- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.04.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sol de Mayo	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Guillermo Brown - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
29.03.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.08.25	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1
01.06.25	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:0
29.03.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	0:0
18.08.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	0:1
23.06.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	2:0
28.04.24	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:3
08.10.23	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0

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