Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 28

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Cirbonero		Txantrea

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.55	4.1
	1.83	3.48	3.93
	1.83	3.25	3.9
	1.77	3.42	4.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.96)	3.43 ↑ (3.23)	4.02 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cirbonero
50.7%

Draw
26.6%

Txantrea
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.2%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cirbonero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Txantrea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cirbonero than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Txantrea than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Cirbonero - Txantrea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).

Cirbonero is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Txantrea has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cirbonero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cirbonero is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cirbonero won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cirbonero won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Txantrea	5	1	2	2	4:9	-5	5
18	Cirbonero	5	0	2	3	1:11	-10	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Cirbonero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
21.03.26	Pamplona - Cirbonero	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Cirbonero - Aoiz	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Cirbonero - Artajonés	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Subiza - Cirbonero	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Cirbonero - San Juan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LWWWT
- UDC Txantrea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
21.03.26	Txantrea - Artajonés	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Beti Onak - Txantrea	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Subiza - Txantrea	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Txantrea - San Juan	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Txantrea - Avance Ezcabarte	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
16.11.25	Txantrea - Cirbonero	1:1
01.02.25	Cirbonero - Txantrea	1:1
24.02.24	Txantrea - Cirbonero	0:0
09.04.22	Txantrea - Cirbonero	0:0
12.12.21	Cirbonero - Txantrea	2:1

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