Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Subiza		Txantrea

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.85	4.95
	1.56	3.86	4.97
	1.61	3.85	5.01	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.54	3.88	5.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)	3.79 ↓ (3.8)	5.02 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Subiza
58%

Draw
24%

Txantrea
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

24.2%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

23.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Subiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Txantrea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Txantrea than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Subiza - Txantrea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Subiza won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Txantrea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Subiza is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Subiza won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Subiza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Subiza	5	2	1	2	11:8	3	7
12	Txantrea	5	1	2	2	4:9	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Subiza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
07.03.26	Pamplona - Subiza	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Subiza - Cirbonero	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Artajonés - Subiza	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Subiza - Aoiz	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Subiza - San Juan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTWW
- UDC Txantrea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
07.03.26	Txantrea - San Juan	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Txantrea - Avance Ezcabarte	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Ardoi - Txantrea	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Txantrea - Beti Kozkor	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Peña Sport - Txantrea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
01.11.25	Txantrea - Subiza	1:1
27.04.24	Subiza - Txantrea	0:2
16.12.23	Txantrea - Subiza	0:0
21.01.23	Txantrea - Subiza	0:0
25.09.22	Subiza - Txantrea	4:1
14.05.22	Subiza - Txantrea	1:2
22.01.22	Txantrea - Subiza	0:0

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