Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Txantrea		San Juan

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.1
	2.92	3.25	2.15
	3.34	3.31	2.07
	3.22	3.38	2.08
	3.25	3	2.1
	3.31	3.24	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.94)	3.2 ↓ (3.5)	2.09 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Txantrea
28.3%

Draw
28.4%

San Juan
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

26.2%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

25.5%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Txantrea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Txantrea than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Juan than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Txantrea - San Juan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, ⚽,
75', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Txantrea won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Txantrea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

San Juan could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Txantrea won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Txantrea won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	AD San Juan	5	2	1	2	9:7	2	7
12	Txantrea	5	1	2	2	4:9	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UDC Txantrea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
21.02.26	Txantrea - Avance Ezcabarte	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Ardoi - Txantrea	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Txantrea - Beti Kozkor	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Peña Sport - Txantrea	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Txantrea - Egüés	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTTLT
- AD San Juan
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
28.02.26	San Juan - Pamplona	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Cirbonero - San Juan	2:2 ✺
13.02.26	San Juan - Artajonés	5:0 ✺
08.02.26	Subiza - San Juan	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	San Juan - Aoiz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
25.10.25	San Juan - Txantrea	2:0
03.05.25	Txantrea - San Juan	0:2
21.12.24	San Juan - Txantrea	4:3
27.02.21	Txantrea - San Juan	0:1
17.11.18	Txantrea - San Juan	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
30.09.17	Txantrea - San Juan	0:0

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