Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 30

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Città di Fasano		Ferrandina

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.7	5.7
	1.49	3.78	5.93
	1.51	3.81	6	Watch
	1.5	3.4	6
	1.59	3.74	5.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.67)	3.69 ↑ (3.5)	5.87 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Città di Fasano
59.9%

Draw
24.7%

Ferrandina
15.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

25.5%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di Fasano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Ferrandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrandina than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Città di Fasano - Ferrandina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).

Fasano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ferrandina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Fasano is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fasano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Città di Fasano
Italian Serie D - Group H
29.03.26	Pompei - Città di Fasano	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Città di Fasano - Manfredonia	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Francavilla - Città di Fasano	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Città di Fasano - Sarnese	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Fidelis Andria - Città di Fasano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWWL
- ASD Ferrandina
Italian Serie D - Group H
29.03.26	Ferrandina - Paganese	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Real Normanna - Ferrandina	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Ferrandina - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Martina Calcio - Ferrandina	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Manfredonia - Ferrandina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
23.11.25	Ferrandina - Città di Fasano	0:0

Città di Fasano - Ferrandina

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Città di Fasano - Ferrandina Predictions

Preview

Form

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