The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferrandina 26.2%
Draw 29.2%
Afragolese 44.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27%
29.1%
43.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.7%
28.8%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Afragolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrandina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Ferrandina - Afragolese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).
Ferrandina has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Afragolese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Afragolese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.