Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Manfredonia		Ferrandina

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.26	3.58	Watch
	1.99	3.13	3.58
	2.06	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.92)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)	3.52 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manfredonia
45.4%

Draw
28.8%

Ferrandina
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.3%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

25.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manfredonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ferrandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manfredonia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manfredonia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrandina than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Manfredonia - Ferrandina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Manfredonia (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Manfredonia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Ceparano G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Manfredonia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Manfredonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Manfredonia	6	3	2	1	10:6	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manfredonia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
15.02.26	Martina Calcio - Manfredonia	4:3 ✺
08.02.26	Manfredonia - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Barletta - Manfredonia	4:0 ✺
25.01.26	Sarnese - Manfredonia	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Manfredonia - Pompei	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLTT
- ASD Ferrandina
Italian Serie D - Group H
15.02.26	Ferrandina - Barletta	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Sarnese - Ferrandina	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Ferrandina - Pompei	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Virtus Francavilla - Ferrandina	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Ferrandina - Francavilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
19.10.25	Ferrandina - Manfredonia	1:2

Manfredonia - Ferrandina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide