Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Città di Fasano		Heraclea

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Città di Fasano
46.8%

Draw
26.8%

Heraclea
26.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.3%

26.9%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

26.5%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di Fasano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Heraclea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heraclea than the current prediction. (+2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Recent performances by Fasano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Heraclea has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fasano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Città di Fasano
Italian Serie D - Group H
11.01.26	Città di Fasano - Gravina	4:0 ✺
04.01.26	Afragolese - Città di Fasano	2:3 ✺
21.12.25	Paganese - Città di Fasano	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Città di Fasano - Real Normanna	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Martina Calcio - Città di Fasano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTLL
- Heraclea Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
11.01.26	Heraclea - Paganese	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Real Normanna - Heraclea	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Ferrandina - Heraclea	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Heraclea - Martina Calcio	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Barletta - Heraclea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL

Città di Fasano - Heraclea