Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Città di Fasano		Heraclea

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.35	3.45
	1.95	3.45	3.46	Watch
	1.95	3.34	3.45
	1.96	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.05)	3.39 ↑ (3.38)	3.44 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Città di Fasano
46.8%

Draw
26.8%

Heraclea
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

26.9%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

26.5%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di Fasano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Heraclea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heraclea than the current prediction. (+2%)

Città di Fasano - Heraclea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Pinto N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Recent performances by Fasano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Heraclea has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fasano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Città di Fasano
Italian Serie D - Group H
11.01.26	Città di Fasano - Gravina	4:0 ✺
04.01.26	Afragolese - Città di Fasano	2:3 ✺
21.12.25	Paganese - Città di Fasano	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Città di Fasano - Real Normanna	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Martina Calcio - Città di Fasano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTLL
- Heraclea Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
11.01.26	Heraclea - Paganese	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Real Normanna - Heraclea	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Ferrandina - Heraclea	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Heraclea - Martina Calcio	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Barletta - Heraclea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL

Città di Fasano - Heraclea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide