Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Marcello Torre (Pagani)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Vivo Azzurro TV


	Paganese		Città di Fasano

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.2
	2.3	3.35	2.62
	2.35	3.47	2.64	Watch
	2	3.1	3.3
	1.93	3.34	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.36)	3.33 ↓ (3.43)	3.06 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paganese
43.1%

Draw
27.2%

Città di Fasano
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

26.7%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

26.4%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Città di Fasano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Paganese - Città di Fasano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).

Paganese is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fasano is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paganese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Paganese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
14.12.25	Nola - Paganese	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Paganese - Gravina	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Afragolese - Paganese	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Paganese - Real Normanna	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Paganese - Ferrandina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWT
- US Città di Fasano
Italian Serie D - Group H
14.12.25	Città di Fasano - Real Normanna	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Martina Calcio - Città di Fasano	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Città di Fasano - Barletta	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Ferrandina - Città di Fasano	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Francavilla - Città di Fasano	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
20.12.23	Paganese - Città di Fasano	2:1

Paganese - Città di Fasano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide