Match Info
Serie D - Group H - Round 19Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Heraclea |
|
Paganese |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.48 |
3.35 |
2.42 |
|
 |
2.8 |
3.12 |
2.41 |
 Watch |
 |
2.74 |
3.04 |
2.39 |
|
 |
2.75 |
3.1 |
2.42 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.48) |
3.15 ↓
(3.35) |
2.41 ↓
(2.42) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Heraclea
33.7% | Draw
28.7% | Paganese
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heraclea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heraclea than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-0.8%)Heraclea - Paganese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 45+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 80', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).Heraclea is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Paganese has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Heraclea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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