Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Barletta		Heraclea

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.1	3.1
	2.11	3.28	3.18	Watch
	2.03	3.33	3.64
	2.14	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.25)	3.23 ↓ (3.31)	3.26 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barletta
43.6%

Draw
28.3%

Heraclea
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

27.6%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

26.4%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Heraclea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barletta than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heraclea than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Barletta - Heraclea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Bonnin C. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6)

Barletta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Heraclea has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Barletta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barletta
Italian Serie D - Group H
30.11.25	Città di Fasano - Barletta	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Barletta - Nola	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Real Normanna - Barletta	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Martina Calcio - Barletta	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Barletta - Paganese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TLWTT
- Heraclea Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
29.11.25	Heraclea - Pompei	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Manfredonia - Heraclea	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Heraclea - Francavilla	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sarnese - Heraclea	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Heraclea - Fidelis Andria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLWT

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