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Current Win Probability
Cittadella 54%
Draw 26.8%
Pescara 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.4%
25.4%
17.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.5%
20.4%
13.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+17.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cittadella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pescara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
52.9%
23.5%
23.5%
Cittadella - Pescara Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 18 - 52.9%). Pescara will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cittadella: 36.1% โ 69.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Cittadella has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (73%), has a chance of promoted (26%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
Pescara has a good chance of relegated (88%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Cittadella is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Pescara is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Cittadella is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-7.