The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monza 44.9%
Draw 29.4%
Cittadella 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51%
27%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
18.3%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monza's form might have worsened.
Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monza that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cittadella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Monza - Cittadella Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).
Monza has the most likely position - 3 (8.95%), has project points - 59, has currently - 10, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), has a chance of promoted (25%), has a small chance of win league (7%).
Cittadella has the most likely position - 10 (7.23%), has project points - 53, has currently - 13, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Monza will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.