The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cittadella 50.1%
Draw 29.9%
Pro Vercelli 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.6%
27.1%
19.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.3%
26.3%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Pro Vercelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cittadella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Cittadella - Pro Vercelli Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
45. Cardinali M. (G) 2. Salvi A. 55. Redolfi A. 25. Cecchetto A. 30. De Zen R. 16. Vita A. 5. Barberis A. 8. Amatucci F. 14. Crialese C. 99. Castelli D. 21. Rabbi S.
1. Passador P. (G) 18. Piran L. 5. Marchetti S. 3. Coccolo L. 19. Furno C. 8. Burruano A. 4. El Bouchataoui A. 14. Iotti I. 92. Akpa Akpro J. 9. Coppola G. 21. Sow A.
Substitutes
90. Bunino C. 19. D'Alessio F. 11. Desogus J. 23. Egharevba D. 91. Falcinelli D. 17. Gaddini M. 44. Gatti R. 77. Ignatov E. 18. Pavan N. 28. Rizza A. 22. Scquizzato E. (G) 15. Verna L. 69. Zanellati A. (G)
78. Anton A. 44. Clemente G. 31. Fofana D. 12. Lancellotti L. (G) 97. Livieri A. (G) 7. Mallahi M. 29. Pino E. 16. Ronchi N. 10. Rutigliano M. . Sow O. 20. Tarantola L. . Zacchera G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Burruano A. ⚽,
19', El Bouchataoui A. 🟨,
43', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Castelli D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 1, Cecchetto A. ⚽,
57', Furno C. ↓, Pino E. ↑,
57', Piran L. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
58', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Clemente G. ↑,
59', Clemente G. 🟨,
65', Cecchetto A. ↓, Gatti R. ↑,
69', Burruano A. ↓, Rutigliano M. ↑,
73', Barberis A. ↓, Verna L. ↑,
73', Castelli D. ↓, Falcinelli D. ↑,
83', Coccolo L. ↓, Mallahi M. ↑,
84', Falcinelli D. 🟨,
84', Amatucci F. ↓, Pavan N. ↑,
84', De Zen R. ↓, D'Alessio F. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 4.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Pro Vercelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cittadella is seen as the favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 1.8:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Cittadella won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).