Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 9

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Cittadella		Triestina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.15	3.4
	2.06	3.23	3.72
	2.44	2.40	4.01	Watch
	2.04	3.56	3.35	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.3)	3.12 ↓ (3.25)	3.46 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
42.9%

Draw
30%

Triestina
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

28%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

28.9%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Triestina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Cittadella - Triestina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cittadella (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Triestina (1.70) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Triestina (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cittadella (votes: 1 - 20%). Triestina (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Zanellati A. (G) 2. Salvi A. 55. Redolfi A. 44. Gatti R. 30. De Zen R. 16. Vita A. (C) 8. Amatucci F. 5. Barberis A. 28. Rizza A. 21. Rabbi S. 99. Castelli D.	1. Matosevic K. (G) 6. Moretti A. 23. Silvestri T. 14. Anzolin M. 2. Silvestro A. 11. Gunduz T. 17. Jonsson K. 7. Ionita A. 26. D'Amore F. 10. D'Urso C. 29. Kljajic N.
Substitutes
90. Bunino C. 45. Cardinali M. (G) 25. Cecchetto A. 14. Crialese C. 11. Desogus J. 9. Diaw D. 23. Egharevba D. 17. Gaddini M. 77. Ignatov E. 22. Scquizzato E. (G) 15. Verna L.	19. Bagnoli E. 22. Borriello F. (G) 33. Crnigoj D. 24. De Luca A. 25. Ellertsson M. P. 27. Faggioli A. 13. Kiyine S. 5. Kosijer S. 30. Neri F. (G) 28. Pedicillo L. 4. Rodolfo Moises 16. Vicario J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Ionita A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', De Zen R. ↓, Egharevba D. ↑,
59', Rizza A. ↓, Crialese C. ↑,
62', D'Amore F. ↓, Pedicillo L. ↑,
62', D'Urso C. ↓, Faggioli A. ↑,
69', Gunduz T. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
69', Rabbi S. ↓, Diaw D. ↑,
70', Redolfi A. ↓, Cecchetto A. ↑,
71', Cecchetto A. 🟨,
76', Barberis A. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
83', Moretti A. 🟨,
85', Kljajic N. ↓, Vicario J. ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Diaw D. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Cittadella is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Triestina is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Triestina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cittadella could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
04.10.25	Renate - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	Cittadella - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
25.09.25	Cittadella - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	AlbinoLeffe - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Cittadella - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TTLLL
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
05.10.25	Novara - Triestina	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Triestina - Renate	3:0 ✺
25.09.25	Inter U23 - Triestina	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Triestina - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Lumezzane - Triestina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWLWW

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