Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni (Ospitaletto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Ospitaletto		Cittadella

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.20	2.40
	2.72	3.05	2.45
	2.68	3.15	2.69
	2.61	3.11	2.61	Watch
	2.55	3	2.6
	2.54	2.96	2.56	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.8)	3.08 ↓ (3.16)	2.54 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospitaletto
34.7%

Draw
29.5%

Cittadella
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

29.1%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29.6%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Ospitaletto - Cittadella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ferrante M. (G) 16. Gualandris M. 15. Parmiggiani P. 4. Nessi R. 20. Casali M. 28. Panatti M. (C) 14. Galuppini F. 43. Guarneri M. 8. Tigani E. 77. Stefanoni D. 9. Gobbi F.	69. Zanellati A. (G) 19. D'Alessio F. 4. Toffanin F. 36. Zilio A. 7. Anastasia E. 33. Frisenna G. 5. Barberis A. 23. Paolucci L. 14. Crialese C. 11. Falcinelli D. (C) 16. Ekuban J.
Substitutes
10. Cantamessa S. 1. Fratti C. (G) 7. Messaggi C. 26. Mondini G. 55. Mundi R. (G) 18. Paganotti M. 17. Plutnik A. 11. Ragnoli Galli F. 21. Torri A. 45. Valente M. 24. Valota G.	8. Amatucci F. 10. Antonucci M. 71. Ceccarelli A. 99. Fabbro M. 24. Gobbato M. 18. Ignatov E. 2. Maniero L. (G) 87. Martella B. 9. Mensah D. 43. Ndrecka A. 20. Sangalli M. 22. Sommacal C. (G)
Coaches
Quaresmini A.	Musso R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Toffanin F. 🟨,
45+4', Falcinelli D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Zilio A. 🟨,
59', Ekuban J. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
60', Crialese C. ↓, Ndrecka A. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Frisenna G. ⚽, Mensah D. (A),
67', Guarneri M. ↓, Valente M. ↑,
76', Falcinelli D. ↓, Antonucci M. ↑,
76', Frisenna G. ↓, Amatucci F. ↑,
76', Parmiggiani P. ↓, Paganotti M. ↑,
76', Gobbi F. ↓, Torri A. ↑,
76', Stefanoni D. ↓, Cantamessa S. ↑,
80', Toffanin F. ↓, Gobbato M. ↑,
84', Paolucci L. 🟨,
85', Tigani E. ↓, Mondini G. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 1st in the Promotion ~ Serie B).

Ospitaletto has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Cittadella is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ospitaletto has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ospitaletto against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cittadella	9	8	0	1	16:4	12	24
4	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	14:6	8	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
17.09.26	Carpi - Ospitaletto	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ospitaletto - Juventus U23	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Ospitaletto - Union ArzignanoChiampo	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	AlbinoLeffe - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ospitaletto - Lumezzane	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWTW
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
17.09.26	Cittadella - Juventus U23	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Carpi - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Cittadella - Lumezzane	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.09.26	Cittadella - Renate	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
31.08.26	Renate - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
27.02.26	Cittadella - Ospitaletto	2:2
18.10.25	Ospitaletto - Cittadella	1:2

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