The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cittadella Vis Modena 19.5%
Draw 27.6%
Pistoiese 52.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
18.2%
26%
55.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.5%
25%
58.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella Vis Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella Vis Modena than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pistoiese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cittadella Vis Modena - Pistoiese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
44', 2 - 0, Cericola M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 2 - 1, Motti M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th and 1st in the Promotion).
Cittadella Vis M is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Pistoiese shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this matchup, Pistoiese is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Cittadella Vis M has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:7 (averaging 0:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cittadella Vis M against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:1 per game).
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