Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 18

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday


	Cittanovese		Acireale

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.85	2.45
	2.99	2.81	2.37
	3.05	2.85	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.42)	2.84 ↓ (2.85)	2.41 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittanovese
30.8%

Draw
31.8%

Acireale
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30.5%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittanovese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cittanovese's form might have worsened.

Acireale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittanovese than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cittanovese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acireale than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Acireale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittanovese won 0.

Recent matches Cittanovese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Acireale is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Acireale have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cittanovese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Cittanovese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cittanovese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.12.22	Cittanovese - Lamezia Terme	0:1 ✺
18.12.22	Canicattì - Cittanovese	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Cittanovese - Castrovillari	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Cittanovese - Città di SantAgata	2:2 ✺
27.11.22	Paternò - Cittanovese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTTW
- Acireale Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.12.22	Città di SantAgata - Acireale	4:1 ✺
18.12.22	Acireale - Paternò	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
14.12.22	Trapani - Acireale	7:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
11.12.22	Locri - Acireale	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Catania - Acireale	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
18.09.22	Acireale - Cittanovese	1:0
30.01.22	Cittanovese - Acireale	0:1
11.04.21	Acireale - Cittanovese	1:0
20.12.20	Cittanovese - Acireale	1:4
03.11.19	Acireale - Cittanovese	2:1
16.02.19	Acireale - Cittanovese	2:0
28.10.18	Cittanovese - Acireale	3:2

Cittanovese - Acireale: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide