Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 15

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Cittanovese		Castrovillari

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.22	3.22
	2	3.28	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2)	3.25 ↓ (3.31)	3.31 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittanovese
45.5%

Draw
27.5%

Castrovillari
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27.3%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

27.9%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittanovese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittanovese than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittanovese won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Cittanovese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cittanovese will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cittanovese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Cittanovese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cittanovese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.12.22	Cittanovese - Città di SantAgata	2:2 ✺
27.11.22	Paternò - Cittanovese	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
09.11.22	Lamezia Terme - Cittanovese	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
06.11.22	Cittanovese - Catania	0:0 ✺
30.10.22	Vibonese - Cittanovese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWLTL
- ASD Castrovillari Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
27.11.22	Città di SantAgata - Castrovillari	3:1 ✺
20.11.22	Castrovillari - Trapani	3:0 ✺
13.11.22	Paternò - Castrovillari	1:3 ✺
06.11.22	Castrovillari - Santa Maria Cilento	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Castrovillari - Real Agro Aversa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
13.03.22	Castrovillari - Cittanovese	4:0
31.10.21	Cittanovese - Castrovillari	2:0
16.05.21	Castrovillari - Cittanovese	2:0
14.03.21	Cittanovese - Castrovillari	2:4
17.11.19	Castrovillari - Cittanovese	2:0
02.03.19	Castrovillari - Cittanovese	3:2
11.11.18	Cittanovese - Castrovillari	1:3

Cittanovese - Castrovillari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide