Match Info

Date: 6 June 2021, Sunday


	Città di Fasano		Picerno

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.4	1.6
	4.5	3.6	1.65
	5.6	3.8	1.49
	5.85	3.56	1.48
	5.8	3.7	1.5
	5.9	4.05	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↑ (4.06)	3.69 ↑ (3.2)	1.54 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Città di Fasano
16.5%

Draw
24.6%

Picerno
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

28.4%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

22.2%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di Fasano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Città di Fasano's form might have worsened.

Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Picerno's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.9%	3.6%	93.4%

Città di Fasano - Picerno Predictions

Users Predictions: Picerno will win (128 of 137 users predict this - 93.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.28% – 97.58%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A).

Recent matches Città di Fasano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Picerno is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Picerno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Picerno is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Città di Fasano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Città di Fasano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Città di Fasano
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.05.21	Città di Fasano - Francavilla	0:1 ✺
16.05.21	Lavello - Città di Fasano	0:0 ✺
09.05.21	Città di Fasano - Altamura	3:2 ✺
02.05.21	Molfetta - Città di Fasano	3:4 ✺
28.04.21	Nardo - Città di Fasano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LTWWT
- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie D - Group H
30.05.21	Picerno - Real Agro Aversa	3:1 ✺
23.05.21	Città di Brindisi - Picerno	0:1 ✺
19.05.21	Picerno - Puteolana	3:0 ✺
16.05.21	Picerno - Casarano	2:2 ✺
09.05.21	Sorrento - Picerno	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
07.02.21	Picerno - Città di Fasano	2:2
20.01.19	Città di Fasano - Picerno	1:2
30.09.18	Picerno - Città di Fasano	6:5

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