Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 32

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday


	Città di Fasano		Ugento

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	4.75
	1.69	3.55	4.3
	1.81	3.56	3.48
	1.82	3.67	3.78
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.76	3.42	4.22
	1.68	3.55	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.51)	3.55 ↓ (3.75)	4.3 ↓ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Città di Fasano
53.4%

Draw
25.5%

Ugento
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

24.3%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

23.5%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di Fasano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Città di Fasano's form might have worsened.

Ugento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ugento's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Città di Fasano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugento than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ugento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Città di Fasano - Ugento Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fasano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Ancora F. ⚽,
44', Onraita F. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 🟥,
90+6', 0 - 2, Sanchez J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).

Città di Fasano is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ugento is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ugento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ugento have a series of home games.

In this match Città di Fasano is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Città di Fasano to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Città di Fasano
Italian Serie D - Group H
13.04.25	Angri - Città di Fasano	2:3 ✺
30.03.25	Virtus Francavilla - Città di Fasano	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Città di Fasano - Matera	6:1 ✺
09.03.25	Città di Fasano - Città di Brindisi	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Costa D`Amalfi - Città di Fasano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWWT
- ASD Ugento
Italian Serie D - Group H
13.04.25	Ugento - Martina Calcio	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Città di Brindisi - Ugento	3:0 ✺
30.03.25	Ugento - Casarano	2:3 ✺
09.03.25	Ugento - Gravina	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Ugento - Fidelis Andria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 WLLWW

Città di Fasano - Ugento: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide