Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 29

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Ugento		Casarano

	1	X	2
	8.25	4.2	1.33
	6.6	4.3	1.4
				Watch
	7.49	4.25	1.37
	6.6	4.3	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.24 ↑ (6.22)	4.26 ↑ (4)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugento
12.6%

Draw
21.3%

Casarano
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

22.7%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Ugento - Casarano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Malcore G. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Sanchez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 1 - 2, Loiodice N. (Pen),
70', 1 - 3, Milicevic M. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, Ancora F. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Casarano is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Casarano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Casarano is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Ugento
Italian Serie D - Group H
09.03.25	Ugento - Gravina	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Ugento - Fidelis Andria	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Ugento - Francavilla	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Manfredonia - Ugento	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Ugento - Costa D`Amalfi	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WWLTW
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.03.25	Casarano - Nardo	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Angri - Casarano	0:4 ✺
02.03.25	Casarano - Nocerina	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Virtus Francavilla - Casarano	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Casarano - Matera	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTTW

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