Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 3

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Eva Peron (Bolivar)


	Ciudad de Bolívar		Costa Brava

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.3	5.75
	1.62	3.15	5.5
	1.65	3.02	5.93
	1.72	2.91	6.65	Watch
	1.61	3.46	6.29
	1.6	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.7)	3.22 ↓ (3.35)	5.85 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Bolívar
56.1%

Draw
28.3%

Costa Brava
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26.9%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

26.1%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Costa Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ciudad de Bolívar - Costa Brava Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Laborda G. (G) 9. Caraballo K. 11. Diaz A. 10. Gonzalez A. 3. Lapetina L. 6. Martinez E. 2. Navarro E. 4. Paredes A. 5. Quintana B. 7. Schonfeld G. 8. Yeri N.	1. Silva L. (G) 2. Aguero P. 6. Alferez B. 10. Alles A. 9. Amieva J. 4. Garoni J. 5. Lara M. 3. Pacheco N. 8. Rivadeneira M. 11. Rivas M. 7. Vivani J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Quintana B. 🟨,
28', Paredes A. 🟨,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Caraballo K. 🟨,
60', Aguero P. 🟨,
70', 🟨,
85', 🟨,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Costa Brava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ciudad de Bolívar is considered a favorite.

We predict that Ciudad de Bolívar will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ciudad de Bolívar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ciudad de Bolívar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.07.25	Villa Mitre - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Deportivo Rincón	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Argentino Monte Maíz	4:1 ✺
06.07.25	San Martín de Mendoza - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWLW
- CA Costa Brava
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.25	Costa Brava - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
13.07.25	Costa Brava - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	3:0 ✺
30.06.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Costa Brava	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Costa Brava - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Costa Brava	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.06.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Costa Brava	0:0
12.04.25	Costa Brava - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:1

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