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Current Win Probability
Ciudad de Bolívar 68.6%
Draw 20.9%
Ferro Gen.Pico 10.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.5%
21.6%
15.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65%
20.8%
15.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ciudad de Bolívar's performance.
Ferro Gen.Pico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferro Gen.Pico might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Gen.Pico than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Ciudad de Bolívar - Ferro Gen.Pico Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Vazquez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Diaz E. ⚽,
76', 3 - 0, Felissia L. ⚽,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ciudad de Bolívar won 3.
Ciudad de Bolívar is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ferro Gen.Pico is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Ciudad de Bolívar is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Ciudad de Bolívar won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Ciudad de Bolívar won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.