The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ciudad de Bolívar 70.9%
Draw 19.7%
San Martín de Mendoza 9.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.5%
25.9%
15.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.9%
24.9%
14.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ciudad de Bolívar's performance.
San Martín de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de Mendoza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ciudad de Bolívar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de Mendoza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ciudad de Bolívar - San Martín de Mendoza Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Laborda G. (G) 4. Paredes A. 2. Navarro E. 6. Martinez E. 3. Lapetina L. 8. Yeri N. 5. Pereyra J. 10. Gonzalez A. 11. Schonfeld G. 7. Alegre T. 9. Caraballo K.
1. Abraham F. (G) 4. Cuenca S. 2. Ruiz F. 6. Olivarez S. 3. Almeida J. 8. Castro I. 10. Mancini V. 5. Romero S. 11. Simionato I. 7. Rivarola F. 9. Heiz N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Martinez E. ⚽,
33', Castro I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, Alegre T. ⚽,
58', Castro I. ↓, Pizarro L. ↑,
58', Simionato I. ↓, Riggio A. ↑,
65', Heiz N. 🟨,
66', Heiz N. ↓, Carrizo L. ↑,
66', Almeida J. ↓, Mayenfisch G. ↑,
67', Olivarez S. 🟨,
74', 🟨,
80', Alegre T. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
80', Schonfeld G. ↓, Abentin J. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Rivarola F. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ciudad de Bolívar won 2.
Ciudad de Bolívar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, SM de Mendoza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Ciudad de Bolívar is the team to beat.
We predict that Ciudad de Bolívar will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ciudad de Bolívar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ciudad de Bolívar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
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Laborda G. (G) 
Rivarola F. 
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