Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 1

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio General Jose de San Martin (San Martin)


	San Martín de Mendoza		Costa Brava

	1	X	2
	2.20	2.70	3.40
	2.07	2.85	3.55
	2.26	2.62	3.53
	2.34	2.58	3.84	Watch
	2.20	2.55	3.45
	2.24	2.65	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.07)	2.66 ↓ (2.85)	3.56 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Mendoza
40.7%

Draw
34%

Costa Brava
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

31.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

31.2%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Costa Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

San Martín de Mendoza - Costa Brava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez L. G. (G) 10. Arce D. 8. Batistella E. 4. Caro V. 2. Contreras M. 11. Leon J. 6. Maidana M. 5. Paz I. 9. Rivarola F. 7. Saucedo F. 3. Zapata M.	1. Silva L. (G) 2. Aguero P. 6. Alferez B. 7. Alles A. 4. Garoni J. 9. Gutierrez J. 10. Ibarra L. 5. Lara M. 8. Lopez A. 3. Pacheco N. 11. Rivas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Lopez A. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Rivarola F. ⚽,
31', Contreras M. ↓, Velazquez P. ↑,
42', 2 - 1, Paz I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 2 - 2, Lentini R. ⚽,
57', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
78', 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Costa Brava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

SM de Mendoza might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, SM de Mendoza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, SM de Mendoza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Mendoza
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	FADEP - San Martín de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Costa Brava - San Martín de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Huracán Las Heras	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTWLW
- CA Costa Brava
Argentinian Torneo Federal
25.07.26	Costa Brava - Deportivo Rincón	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	Huracán Las Heras - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Costa Brava - San Martín de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Costa Brava	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Costa Brava - Cipolletti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.26	Costa Brava - San Martín de Mendoza	2:1
26.04.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Costa Brava	0:0
24.05.25	Costa Brava - San Martín de Mendoza	1:0
23.03.25	San Martín de Mendoza - Costa Brava	0:0

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