Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Ciudad de Lucena		Atlético Central

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.3	5.9
	1.57	3.47	6.16
	1.59	3.38	6.16
	1.57	3.3	6
	1.54	3.38	6.41
	1.58	3.4	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.57)	3.37 ↓ (3.42)	6.06 ↑ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Lucena
58%

Draw
27%

Atlético Central
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

26.6%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

28%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ciudad de Lucena have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Atlético Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Central than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Ciudad de Lucena - Atlético Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Cantarino Abelleira D. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Madrigal L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).

Ciudad de Lucena has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Central is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Atlético Central may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ciudad de Lucena has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ciudad de Lucena is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ciudad de Lucena won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ciudad de Lucena won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Ciudad de Lucena - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 57.95%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
18.01.26	Utrera - Ciudad de Lucena	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Dos Hermanas - Ciudad de Lucena	2:4 ✺
04.01.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Cadiz CF B	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Tomares - Ciudad de Lucena	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Bollullos - Ciudad de Lucena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWTT
- Club Atlético Central
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
18.01.26	Atlético Central - Bollullos	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Linense - Atlético Central	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Atlético Central - Sevilla C	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Atlético Central - Atlético Onubense	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Pozoblanco - Atlético Central	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
14.09.25	Atlético Central - Ciudad de Lucena	1:0
08.06.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Atlético Central	0:0
01.06.25	Atlético Central - Ciudad de Lucena	2:1
27.04.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Atlético Central	0:0
08.12.24	Atlético Central - Ciudad de Lucena	2:1

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