Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Coria CF		Ciudad de Lucena

	1	X	2
	4.85	3.3	1.65
	5.44	3.42	1.64
	4.22	3.25	1.86	Watch
	5.5	3.1	1.65
	5.56	3.28	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↑ (5.03)	3.27 ↓ (3.33)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria CF
17.9%

Draw
27.9%

Ciudad de Lucena
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

27.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

27.2%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coria CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ciudad de Lucena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria CF than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Coria CF - Ciudad de Lucena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coria CF won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Coria CF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ciudad de Lucena is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Coria CF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Coria CF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Coria CF - the odds 5.03 are the expected chance of winning is 18.06%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coria CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
22.02.26	Bollullos - Coria CF	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Coria CF - Sevilla C	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Coria CF - Atlético Onubense	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Pozoblanco - Coria CF	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Coria CF - San Roque de Lepe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 TTWTW
- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
25.02.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Chiclana	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Ceuta B	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Córdoba B - Ciudad de Lucena	0:4 ✺
01.02.26	Conil - Ciudad de Lucena	3:2 ✺
25.01.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Atlético Central	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
19.10.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Coria CF	5:0
09.02.25	Coria CF - Ciudad de Lucena	1:0
24.03.24	Coria CF - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1
05.11.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Coria CF	3:2
05.03.23	Coria CF - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1
06.11.22	Ciudad de Lucena - Coria CF	2:1
21.02.21	Ciudad de Lucena - Coria CF	1:0

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