Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Ciudad de Lucena		Castilleja

	1	X	2
	1.24	4.85	11
	1.21	5.53	12.86
	1.22	5.22	12.78	Watch
	1.22	5	13
	1.28	5.17	10.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.25)	5.15 ↑ (4.84)	12.11 ↑ (11.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Lucena
74.6%

Draw
17.8%

Castilleja
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.1%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Lucena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Castilleja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ciudad de Lucena - Castilleja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Cantarino Abelleira D. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Fuentes H. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', 3 - 0, Ortiz M. ⚽,
70', 4 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽,
85', 5 - 0, Martin J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Ciudad de Lucena is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Castilleja has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ciudad de Lucena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ciudad de Lucena is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ciudad de Lucena won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ciudad de Lucena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
01.03.26	Coria CF - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Chiclana	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Ceuta B	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Córdoba B - Ciudad de Lucena	0:4 ✺
01.02.26	Conil - Ciudad de Lucena	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL
- Castilleja CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
28.02.26	Castilleja - Bollullos	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Sevilla C - Castilleja	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Castilleja - Linense	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Castilleja - Pozoblanco	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	San Roque de Lepe - Castilleja	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
26.10.25	Castilleja - Ciudad de Lucena	0:2
07.02.21	Ciudad de Lucena - Castilleja	3:1
08.11.20	Castilleja - Ciudad de Lucena	0:3

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