Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 16

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Ciudad de Murcia		Pulpileño

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.8	2.85
	2.45	2.9	2.9
	2.38	2.81	3.02
	2.39	2.81	3.02
	2.41	2.94	2.96
	2.45	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.7)	2.86 ↓ (3.1)	2.94 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Murcia
37.5%

Draw
31.7%

Pulpileño
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.1%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

29.4%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Pulpileño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pulpileño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Murcia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pulpileño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ciudad de Murcia - Pulpileño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).

Ciudad de Murcia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pulpileño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pulpileño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ciudad de Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ciudad de Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CAP Ciudad de Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
07.01.24	Racing Murcia - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Ciudad de Murcia - Minera	0:2 ✺
03.12.23	Balsicas Atlético - Ciudad de Murcia	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Ciudad de Murcia - Muleño	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Real Murcia B - Ciudad de Murcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLTL
- CA Pulpileño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
06.01.24	Pulpileño - Unión Molinense	1:1 ✺
15.12.23	Caravaca - Pulpileño	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Pulpileño - Lorca Deportiva	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	UCAM Murcia B - Pulpileño	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Pulpileño - Algar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.02.23	Pulpileño - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1
23.10.22	Ciudad de Murcia - Pulpileño	0:1
23.12.18	Ciudad de Murcia - Pulpileño	2:3

Ciudad de Murcia - Pulpileño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide