Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 12

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Ciudad de Murcia		Muleño

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.59	3.4	5.2
	1.6	3.4	5.2
	1.56	3.56	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.82)	3.47 ↑ (3.34)	5.24 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Murcia
56.9%

Draw
25.9%

Muleño
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.2%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

26.6%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ciudad de Murcia's performance.

Muleño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Muleño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Murcia than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ciudad de Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muleño than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Muleño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ciudad de Murcia won 2.

Recent matches Ciudad de Murcia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Muleño is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ciudad de Murcia is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ciudad de Murcia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ciudad de Murcia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CAP Ciudad de Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.11.23	Real Murcia B - Ciudad de Murcia	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Unión Molinense - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Ciudad de Murcia - Caravaca	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Lorca Deportiva - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Ciudad de Murcia - UCAM Murcia B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTTTW
- Muleño CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.11.23	Muleño - Unión Molinense	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Caravaca - Muleño	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Muleño - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	UCAM Murcia B - Muleño	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Muleño - Algar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
26.03.23	Ciudad de Murcia - Muleño	1:0
26.11.22	Muleño - Ciudad de Murcia	2:0
10.03.21	Muleño - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1
06.12.20	Ciudad de Murcia - Muleño	0:2
17.11.19	Muleño - Ciudad de Murcia	1:2
14.04.19	Ciudad de Murcia - Muleño	2:0

Ciudad de Murcia - Muleño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide